Taking the contrarian side here: despite Ivana Petrovic being the public favorite, the 8.5% overround and +275 best line on Danielle Misteli suggest inflated chalk pricing.

Combat sports produce some of the widest odds differentials — at 82% the market sees a significant skill gap, but upsets at this price range happen 20-30% of the time. The +275 best available on Danielle Misteli offers strong plus-money if they can execute their game plan.

Overround at 8.5% means books are taking a large cut — 4.3% per side on average. Factor in the vig before sizing this bet; the true edge is narrower than the raw numbers suggest.