Total set at 1.5 with Over priced at +150 (40%) and Under at -180 (64%) — the skew on this line offers a mathematical angle.

Combat sports produce some of the widest odds differentials — at 94% the market sees a significant skill gap, but upsets at this price range happen 20-30% of the time. The +900 best available on Daniel Bzdigian offers strong plus-money if they can execute their game plan.

Market overround at 4.4% is in the normal range with 2 books pricing this game. Confidence level of 72% accounts for the vig-adjusted edge.