🥊 UFC
Sat, May 16, 8:00 PM ETNicolle Caliari
Away
@
Shauna Bannon
Home
Spread
N/A
Total
2.5
ML
+195
AI Pick
Edge: chalk
76%
MONEYLINE
Nicolle Caliari
Confidence76%
Nicolle Caliari 70%Shauna Bannon 34%
AI Analysis
1
Nicolle Caliari commands 70% implied win probability with 7-book consensus — this is a market-confirmed lean with minimal disagreement across sportsbooks.
2
Combat sports produce some of the widest odds differentials — a 70/34 split means the market sees a competitive fight where the underdog has real paths to victory. The +200 best available on Shauna Bannon is relatively tight for a dog in this sport.
3
Line shopping is critical here — 20-point odds gap across books means getting the best number adds 6.0% to expected ROI. Best available at Caesars vs worst creates meaningful EV difference.
Matchup Overview
CALIARI
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
vs
Books
7
BANNON
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
Bet Types
| Sportsbook | CALIARI | BANNON |
|---|
Edge Analysis
Books Tracked
7
Overround
4.5%
Best Nicolle Caliari
-230 (BetOnline.ag)
Best Shauna Bannon
+200 (Caesars)
Line Shopping Range
Caliari: -240 to -230
Bannon: +180 to +200
Place Your Bet
21+ only. Gambling involves risk. Please bet responsibly.
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