🥊 UFC
Sat, Jun 13, 10:00 PM ETCarlos Ulberg
Away
@
Alex Pereira
Home
Spread
N/A
Total
N/A
ML
-175
AI Pick
Edge: value
63%
MONEYLINE
Carlos Ulberg
Confidence63%
Alex Pereira 64%Carlos Ulberg 40%
AI Analysis
1
Market pricing Carlos Ulberg at 40% implied probability, but the best available line at +150 (BetOnline.ag) offers value beyond what the consensus supports.
2
Combat sports produce some of the widest odds differentials — a 64/40 split means the market sees a competitive fight where the underdog has real paths to victory. The +150 best available on Carlos Ulberg is relatively tight for a dog in this sport.
3
Overround at just 3.6% signals an unusually efficient market — edges here are small but more likely to be real. This is a low-vig environment where the math is reliable.
Matchup Overview
ULBERG
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
vs
Books
1
PEREIRA
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
Bet Types
| Sportsbook | ULBERG | PEREIRA |
|---|
Edge Analysis
Books Tracked
1
Overround
3.6%
Best Alex Pereira
-175 (BetOnline.ag)
Best Carlos Ulberg
+150 (BetOnline.ag)
Line Shopping Range
Pereira: -175 to -175
Ulberg: +150 to +150
Place Your Bet
21+ only. Gambling involves risk. Please bet responsibly.
Share This Pick
More UFC Picks