Market pricing Melquizael Costa at 43% implied probability, but the best available line at +140 (FanDuel) offers value beyond what the consensus supports.

Combat sports produce some of the widest odds differentials — a 62/43 split means the market sees a competitive fight where the underdog has real paths to victory. The +140 best available on Melquizael Costa is relatively tight for a dog in this sport.

Market overround at 4.5% is in the normal range with 7 books pricing this game. Confidence level of 72% accounts for the vig-adjusted edge.