🥊 UFC
Sat, May 16, 12:00 PM ET
Valeriu Mircea
Away
@
Roman Szymanski
Home
Spread
N/A
Total
N/A
ML
-105
AI Pick
Edge: lean
62%
MONEYLINE
Valeriu Mircea
Confidence62%
Valeriu Mircea 57%Roman Szymanski 51%
AI Analysis
1

Marginal lean based on 57/51 implied probability split across 1 books. The edge is thin but the math tilts slightly in this direction.

2

Combat sports produce some of the widest odds differentials — a 57/51 split means the market sees a competitive fight where the underdog has real paths to victory. The -105 best available on Roman Szymanski is relatively tight for a dog in this sport.

3

Overround at 8.7% means books are taking a large cut — 4.3% per side on average. Factor in the vig before sizing this bet; the true edge is narrower than the raw numbers suggest.

Matchup Overview
MIRCEA
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
vs
Books
1
SZYMANSKI
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
Bet Types
SportsbookMIRCEASZYMANSKI
Edge Analysis
Books Tracked
1
Overround
8.7%
Best Valeriu Mircea
-135 (BetOnline.ag)
Best Roman Szymanski
-105 (BetOnline.ag)
Line Shopping Range
Szymanski: -105 to -105
Mircea: -135 to -135
Place Your Bet

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