🥊 UFC
Sat, May 16, 12:00 PM ETMichal Dreczkowski
Away
@
Cedric Lushima
Home
Spread
N/A
Total
N/A
ML
+120
AI Pick
Edge: chalk
65%
MONEYLINE
Michal Dreczkowski
Confidence65%
Michal Dreczkowski 62%Cedric Lushima 45%
AI Analysis
1
Michal Dreczkowski commands 62% implied win probability with 1-book consensus — this is a market-confirmed lean with minimal disagreement across sportsbooks.
2
Combat sports produce some of the widest odds differentials — a 62/45 split means the market sees a competitive fight where the underdog has real paths to victory. The +120 best available on Cedric Lushima is relatively tight for a dog in this sport.
3
Market overround at 7.0% is in the normal range with 1 books pricing this game. Confidence level of 65% accounts for the vig-adjusted edge.
Matchup Overview
DRECZKOWSKI
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
vs
Books
1
LUSHIMA
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
Bet Types
| Sportsbook | DRECZKOWSKI | LUSHIMA |
|---|
Edge Analysis
Books Tracked
1
Overround
7.0%
Best Michal Dreczkowski
-160 (BetOnline.ag)
Best Cedric Lushima
+120 (BetOnline.ag)
Line Shopping Range
Lushima: +120 to +120
Dreczkowski: -160 to -160
Place Your Bet
21+ only. Gambling involves risk. Please bet responsibly.
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