🥊 UFC
Sat, May 16, 6:00 PM ET
Christian Edwards
Away
@
Modestas Bukauskas
Home
Spread
N/A
Total
2.5
ML
-280
AI Pick
Edge: total
72%
TOTAL
Over 2.5
Confidence72%
Modestas Bukauskas 74%Christian Edwards 29%
AI Analysis
1

Total set at 2.5 with Over priced at +120 (45%) and Under at -140 (58%) — the skew on this line offers a mathematical angle.

2

Combat sports produce some of the widest odds differentials — at 74% the market sees a significant skill gap, but upsets at this price range happen 20-30% of the time. The +240 best available on Christian Edwards offers strong plus-money if they can execute their game plan.

3

Overround at just 3.1% signals an unusually efficient market — edges here are small but more likely to be real. This is a low-vig environment where the math is reliable.

Matchup Overview
EDWARDS
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
vs
Books
1
BUKAUSKAS
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
Bet Types
SportsbookEDWARDSBUKAUSKAS
Edge Analysis
Books Tracked
1
Overround
3.1%
Best Modestas Bukauskas
-280 (BetOnline.ag)
Best Christian Edwards
+240 (BetOnline.ag)
Line Shopping Range
Edwards: +240 to +240
Bukauskas: -280 to -280
Place Your Bet

21+ only. Gambling involves risk. Please bet responsibly.

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